Facing tariffs, "Detroit's Big Three" have no escape. For example, Ford Motor expects Trump's tariff policies to cause the company a $1.5 billion loss in adjusted EBIT in 2025. Considering the risks posed by tariffs, Ford also withdrew its 2025 performance guidance. The company had previously projected adjusted EBIT of $7 billion to $8.5 billion for 2025.
General Motors has also been hit hard, expecting annual profits to decline by $4 billion to $5 billion due to tariffs—nearly three times Ford's projected loss. Paul Jacobson, GM's CFO, noted that $2 billion of the loss stems from vehicle import tariffs, with the rest from component import tariffs. As a result, the company revised its 2025 adjusted EBIT guidance from $10 billion-$15 billion to $10 billion-$12.5 billion.
Stellantis Group stated that the ever-changing U.S. tariff policies make it difficult to predict the impact on sales and the competitive landscape, so the company withdrew its full-year 2025 financial guidance and is "closely engaging" with tariff policymakers. Not long ago, Stellantis Chairman John Elkann warned that high U.S. tariffs and overly strict European regulations are endangering the automotive industries in Europe and America amid increasing market competition from Chinese automakers.
The challenges posed by tariffs to Japan's automotive industry have also drawn widespread attention. Since the U.S. is Japan's largest export market, accounting for 30% of total exports, tariffs naturally hit Japanese automakers hard. At the end of April, Japan's Minister of Economic Revitalization, Ryosei Akasawa, who led negotiations with the U.S. government, said a top Japanese automaker was losing $1 million per hour due to U.S. tariffs.
Specifically, Toyota Motor expects its operating profit for fiscal 2025 (April 2025-March 2026) to fall to ¥3.8 trillion, with net profit plunging 35% year-on-year to ¥3.1 trillion. One of the main reasons for the sharp profit contraction is the impact of U.S. tariff policies. In just April and May, the company expects an operating profit loss of ¥180 billion (approximately ¥9 billion RMB).
Honda also has a bleak outlook, projecting a 70% year-on-year drop in net profit to ¥250 billion for fiscal 2025. Honda emphasized that the tariff policies will have a "very significant" impact on its business, with frequent changes making it difficult to forecast the future.
Nissan noted that Trump's tariff policies will cause the company a ¥450 billion ($22.3 billion RMB) loss in fiscal 2025, but due to the unclear tariff outlook, Nissan did not provide full-year operating profit or net profit forecasts. However, based on recent quarterly performance, Nissan expects an operating loss of ¥200 billion for April-June 2025, compounded by tariff impacts.
Mazda announced the postponement of its fiscal 2025 forecasts, stating that the opaque business environment caused by U.S. auto tariffs continues, making calculations difficult at this stage.
Additionally, European automakers with extensive U.S. operations have also issued warnings. Mercedes-Benz emphasized that if Trump's tariff policies continue, company profits will be "negatively affected." The company has abandoned its previously set performance guidelines, only stating that under tariff impacts, all metrics are expected to be lower than the same period last year.
In its Q1 2025 earnings report, the Volkswagen Group had already set aside €300 million in provisions to address U.S. tariff policies and diesel vehicle litigation. The BMW Group is relatively more optimistic, maintaining its 2025 performance guidance and believing that some auto tariffs may start to decline from July. However, BMW also noted that if tariff rates increase or implementation periods exceed expectations, actual performance may deviate from targets, and bottlenecks may emerge in specific component and raw material supply chains.